He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Prescott has made two Pro Bowls over his first four seasons, but his best rsum point is winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2016. James Harrison was a backup for four seasons, started regularly for the first time at 29, and probably won't make the Hall of Fame despite a pretty spectacular peak. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. Kiper's draft grades for every team He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. Find out more. Pro Football Hall of Fame Hall of Fame Village. Bosa won Defensive Rookie of the Year, which hasn't been quite as big of a boon as you might think. Mosley. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. He has made four Pro Bowls and was a first-team All-Pro in 2012, but there are just too many offensive linemen with more impressive rsums who have struggled to get in for Brown to have much of a chance. Watt is off to a dominant start, having racked up 34.5 sacks over three seasons while earning two Pro Bowl nods and a first-team All-Pro berth last season. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. If you want to know why people are excited about the Cowboys' offense in 2020, consider that they could have as many as five future Hall of Famers lining up when everyone's healthy. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones. Watson has earned Pro Bowl nods in each of his first two full seasons as a starter, which is easier for quarterbacks than it is for most other positions. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. One issue: Five of those six are running backs, with Randy Moss as the only exception. . A Super Bowl victory would probably help. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. Or write about sports? What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? The left tackle has seven Pro Bowls and two All-Pro nods before turning 30. Early in a player's career, I'm also comfortable using draft status as an estimate of talent until they establish themselves as pros, which will lead to some very inexperienced players making this list. Typically, there are between 45 and 50 Hall of Famers playing at any one time. His peak is Hall of Fame-worthy -- he has two of the three best seasons in fantasy football history by a tight end -- but it lasted only four seasons. Browns star left tackle Joe Thomas and Jets greats Joe . But lack of team success isnt a disqualifier. I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. The guy who hasn't played a single NFL snap? More NFL coverage . Likely (70% to 99%): DT Geno Atkins. All of these guys have something in their favor, but it isn't enough to propel them to meaningful consideration as of yet. Baker was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and a two-time Pro Bowler, although his 2017 awards were for special-teams work, which isn't valued as highly by voters. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. Minnesota Vikings Ring of Honor. Peppers, who played for the Panthers (twice), Bears and Packers, ranks fourth on the NFLs all-time sack list with 159 and was also on the Halls All-Decade Team for the 2000s and 2010s. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN Peters might not be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he should get in eventually. (1:43), Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? Both are among the all-time leaders in every notable stat at their positions. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. You could also make the argument that Murray should be up a level after being taken with the No. Exhibits Interactive Experiences Gear Shop Pit Stop Caf Accessibility Champ the Cheetah. He has been one of the five best players at the second-most lucrative position in football over the past five years, and the fact that he was traded for two first-round picks and then delivered a wildly successful season with all of that attention in 2018 helps him. Carmichael was one of the best wide receivers of his era. You probably dont need me to tell you that in 2018 Moss became the most recent receiver to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). Elliott should be a prohibitive favorite to get in. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. Future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, though, has a different team in mind for Rodgers. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. Given his style, I worry about his aging curve versus that of tight ends who are basically glorified wide receivers. Gates, a former college basketball player, had one of the greatest careers for an undrafted player, logging 16 seasons with the Chargers. The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. As he enters the league, Young's chances of making the Hall of Fame on draft status alone sneak him into consideration. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. Things would be different if he had actually won the MVP award or been the quarterback who ran the Eagles through the playoffs in 2017. When: 1999-2004 These two probably had the greatest four-year stretch in NFL history. March 25, 2020 9:36 pm ET. If you were asked to name off the top of your head the three best NFL receivers to enter the league at 21, you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. In the running (40% to 69%): C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox. Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. I've split players into four groups. Ranking the top outlier contracts Astros great Craig Biggio had to wait until his third time on the ballot to be voted to the Baseball Hall of Fame, and fell an agonizing two votes shy the previous year. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. Everyone but Hill is either a lock or extremely likely to make it in. Rivers is probably the most difficult case to parse among veteran players. . Meanwhile on offense, receiver Allen Robinson's three-year, $46.5 million contract (signed last spring) comes with $15.2 million guaranteed in 2023. In my Week 10 WR/CB matchups piece, I highlight the upcoming matchup between Evans and Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and say that we might be seeing two Canton-bound players go at each other in a one-on-one heavyweight matchup.. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Duane Brown. Let's see whether we can get a sense of who those 50 are right now: Jump to a team: The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. In fact, a future Hall of Fame wide receiver recently revealed that Rodgers tried to recruit him over to the Packers. Unless he turns things around dramatically this season, he would fall out of the "Work to do" category altogether. We don't talk enough about Hunter, who only has two Pro Bowl nods over his first five seasons. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. Heres what you need to know. Likely (70% to 99%): S Earl Thomas. Lewan has three Pro Bowls. He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has three first-team All-Pro nods to go with his Defensive Player of the Year trophy from 2016. Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) November 4, 2019. Only Campbell is in the Hall of Fame. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. Charley Taylor<br>1964-1975, 1977 . Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Tre'Davious White. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . The 2021 Radio Hall of Fame inductees will be honored at the in-person 2021 Radio Hall of Fame induction ceremony on Thursday, October 28, 2021, at Chicago's Wintrust Grand Banking Hall. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. Orlovsky sounds off on Wentz not making top 100 list. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . All but. Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. While Hunter's chances are probably somewhere in the 65% range, Smith is closer to the lower end of the spectrum in the 40% zone. Jalen and Reggie Wayne connected while he was in college, and his uncle has helped him every step of the way since. The former Panthers quarterback has two other Pro Bowl nods besides that 2015 season, although he hasn't received a nomination since. Will the Dolphins get a veteran QB? Harold Carmichael and Isaac Bruce will enter the Pro Football Hall of Fame in August. Troy Aikman, John Elway and Roger Staubach won multiple Super Bowls. Art Monk. Running backs mean less than they have in the past, but Terrell Davis just made the Hall for what really amounted to a three-season stretch as the best running back in football. Syndication Packersnews First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. Rockets great and championship coach Rudy Tomjanovich was only inducted in the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2021. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Of all the young receivers, Moss is the only one to accomplish more through the first five seasons of his career. In other words, instead of trying to project their chances by guessing what they'll do in the future, I'm looking at what they've done so far, comparing them to players at similar points in their careers, and seeing how often players with those sorts of careers made it into the Hall of Fame. Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. 8/16/2011. Likely (70% to 99%): TE Rob Gronkowski. Inductees Nominees Induction Weekend Induction Process Landmark Award Squier-Hall Award Blue Jacket & Class Ring. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Wait, Joe Burrow? In the running (40% to 69%): RB Saquon Barkley. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. Given the ages of Gilmore and Patrick Peterson, Ramsey is neck-and-neck with White and Marshon Lattimore as the likely best cornerback in football over the next five years. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. Vinatieri is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history, twice making last-second field goals to win Super Bowls and also making another famous kick in the Tuck Rule game that helped launch New Englands dynasty. He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. In related news, the Cowboys also have a running back likely bound for the Hall. You could make a case Jones belongs in the Likely category based on his 2017 and 2019 seasons, although I'd argue there's a significant gap between those two campaigns and the rest of his career. His time may come, but maybe not for a while. I think his five-year peak with the Seahawks probably would have been enough to get him in, but earning a sixth Pro Bowl trip with the 49ers last season only helped his chances. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. NFL Nation: Analysis for every pick Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Giants fans would be happy if Thomas solidified a position that has been a mess since Will Beatty tore his pec in 2015. The star inside linebacker made his first Pro Bowl last season, which is incredible given that it was his age-21 season. Both are locks for election. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. It hasn't been for lack of trying on his part, though. Roethlisberger won two Super Bowls with the Steelers and spent 18 seasons as Pittsburghs starter. 260 players who could win MVP Contemporaries Torry Holt and Reggie Wayne also made the finalists cut from 15 to 10 with Johnson, but likewise didnt gain election. He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. After missing the postseason for the first time in four years, the Green Bay Packers will now spend their offseason with one topic at the forefront of their internal conversations: the future of Aaron Rodgers. Eagles fans will be furious, but the reality is that Wentz has made one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game or led the league in a major statistical category (outside of fumbles) during his first four seasons.